Houston looks to stay fairly quiet in the weather department until the weekend.
However, if you are traveling to North Texas or the Hill Country Thursday, be aware that there is the potential of a few severe storms capable of producing large hail and damaging winds.
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Lets break down the threat.
Severe threat Thursday
A cold front will be moving southeastward across the state of Texas on Thursday. A level 2 slight risk of severe weather has been added to account for the threat posed by any storms that fire on the front.
Afternoon heating will lead to an unstable environment and a few storms could break out Thursday afternoon near the cold front and start moving to the east in parts of north and central Texas.
Computer models break out several storms from the DFW metroplex south into parts of the Hill Country west of I-35.
These storms will move eastward and may be accompanied by a risk for large hail and damaging winds. The tornado threat is very low as wind shear will not be particularly strong Thursday.
As these storms will be fueled by the instability driven by daytime heating, they should begin to weaken after the sun goes down. Models are showing most of the storms will be gone close to midnight Thursday, although a few storms may still be going in the Hill County north and west of San Antonio.
Houston’s next rain chance
As mentioned earlier, it doesn’t look like Houston will see any impacts from Thursday’s storms. Our next chance of rain comes Saturday afternoon and evening and into Sunday morning.