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Heavy rainfall remains possible for Houston area as tropical system churns in Gulf

Flooding possible through Thursday morning.

The track moves west into Mexico. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Current Radar:

Check out our current radar below. We’ll see some spotty storms continuing to move in from the coast through this evening as the first of the tropical rain bands moves closer to the coast.

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Tropical Storm Warning:

This is the first of 2024! (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Flood Watch:

Flood watch (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Flood Watch issued for Washington, Colorado, Chambers, Wharton, Fort Bend, Jackson, Matagorda, Brazoria and Galveston counties until 1 a.m. Thursday.

Harris and Waller counties have been dropped from the Flood Watch.

Tropical Outlook:

Potential Tropical Storm #1 has formed and will likely become Tropical Storm Alberto sometime on Tuesday in the Bay of Campeche.

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Heavy waves of rain and coastal flooding will become the biggest impacts for most of SE Texas.

The track moves west into Mexico. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

The center of the storm will stay to the south, making landfall in Mexico. Regardless of formation, our impacts are the same. We will see gusty winds to 30mph, rough seas, high rip currents and a flood threat. We can expect to see heavy constant rainfall starting late Tuesday and lasting through early Thursday.

If a tropical system develops , the center of the storm will be over Mexico.

What will SE Texas see:

Tuesday brings more widespread bands of showers and storms. Tuesday morning starts off with low rain chances, then activity picks up in the afternoon and evening.

Tuesday evening rainfall (2024 KPRC2)

The slow moving nature of the bands will lead to a risk of flooding. The risk continues to be moderate (level 3 out of 4), so you need to take stay aware. Street flooding is possible and we’ll have to watch out for flash flooding into Wednesday and Thursday.

Flash flood risk (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Tuesday night through Wednesday evening more widespread tropical downpours move through. Thursday morning the rain begins to shift southwest, bringing some dry time back to SE Texas.

Wednesday morning rainfall (2024 KPRC2)

The heaviest rainfall totals forecast continues to shift further southwest from Houston. There will be a sharp gradient between the rainfall amounts with parts of Houston seeing half an inch to an inch of rainfall. That number bumps up to 2-3 inches for our coastal counties and increases the further southwest you go.

Rainfall forecast (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Right now, it appears the highest rainfall amounts will fall near Corpus Christi and in the Rio Grande Valley. Those areas could see between 6-10 inches of rain with isolated pockets of even heavier amounts.

Rainfall forecast (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
10-Day Forecast:

Early week’s tropical downpours will keep temperatures in the 80s. Rain chances will drop over the weekend but we stay in a wet pattern along the Gulf Coast next week.

10-day Forecast (2024 KPRC2)

About the Authors
Caroline Brown headshot

Meteorologist, 6th generation Texan, country music lover, patio seeker

Justin Stapleton headshot

Meteorologist, craft beer guru, dad to Maya and Ella and a sock and cheese addict.

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