Beryl’s cone now includes Houston. Here’s what that means

Tropical rains next week

Beryl likely makes landfall in south coastal Texas as a category 1 Hurricane late Sunday into Early Monday

Friday morning, Beryl made landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula. It continues to move through Mexico and has weakened to a tropical storm.

LIVE SATELLITE: Storm Tracker 2 tracking Beryl’s path as storm heads toward Texas coast

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The storm is expected to move into the Gulf as a tropical storm on Friday night and could strengthen to a Category 1 by Sunday.

NEW PICTURES: Hurricane Beryl slams into Mexico’s coast as a Category 2 storm; 11 dead across the Caribbean

Beryl enters the Gulf of Mexico as a tropical storm. Will gain strength Sunday.
Beryl likely makes landfall in south coastal Texas as a category 1 Hurricane late Sunday into Early Monday

The forecast cone is now taking the storm to a more northerly turn as it approaches South Texas for landfall Sunday night. The northerly turn brings greater uncertainty for the exact landfall location along the Texas coast. Everyone from Boca Chica to Matagorda Bay should be prepared for tropical storm and hurricane winds, rains, and surges because any shift east or west in Beryl could change the risk level.

The cone widens as the storm gets pulled north into inland Texas, which now includes SE Texas. This means there is a better chance for tropical rains in Houston, possibly leading to flash flooding risk next week.

Tropical rains bring a low flood threat to SE Texas Monday
More rounds of tropical rain Tuesday increase the flood risk in Houston.

Beryl’s rain bands will begin to impact the Texas coastline by Sunday morning. Models keep the heaviest rain west of Houston based on the current forecast track.

A hurricane and storm surge watch have been issued along the Texas coast up to Sargent, Texas. Winds to hurricane force and storm surge values of 3 to 5 feet will be possible in the watch areas.

Heaviest rain trending south and west of Houston.

Tropical storm-force winds will likely stay south of Houston, but we can still expect gusty conditions at around 30 mph. Galveston and Surfside will see increased surf, leading to rip currents and even coastal flooding concerns.

Remember to check the forecast every day as Beryl approaches.


About the Author
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I am grateful for the opportunity to share the captivating tales of weather, climate, and science within a community that has undergone the same transformative moments that have shaped my own life.