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High chance for tropical development in the Gulf this weekend

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HOUSTON – The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a cluster of storms that has a 70% chance of development over the next 7 days.

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Our disorganized cluster of thunderstorms is currently by the Dominican Republic and moving west-northwest. Development will be slow over the next few days as it will have a lot of land interaction and it’s moving pretty quick.

There is a high chance we will have our next named system in the next week. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

After the storms pass Cuba and enter the Eastern Gulf, it will be in an area very favorable for development. We will likely have a tropical depression by late this weekend.

READ: ☔Record setting rain in Houston 🌧️

If this becomes a tropical storm it will be named Debby.

The storm is headed to Florida. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Where is this storm heading?

Long story short: Florida.

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All of our models have it impacting Florida. No models have this coming to Texas.

The spaghetti models have the storm impacting Florida. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Long range models are showing the high pressure cell in Texas backing off towards New Mexico this weekend. In addition, a front will stall across Georgia which should tug at “Debby” and push the storms towards NW Florida by Sunday.

This weekend's forecast (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Florida, SE Georgia and coastal South Carolina can expect to see heavy rainfall from this storm starting Sunday and lasting through Thursday of next week. Some models have widespread 6″+.

Heavy rainfall is expected in north Florida. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

You can track the latest on the tropics by downloading our KPRC 2 Hurricane Tracker App.


About the Author
Caroline Brown headshot

Meteorologist, 6th generation Texan, country music lover, patio seeker

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