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Record high temperature set in Houston as we continue a summer stretch

A stretch of 90s continues with a low chance for rain this week

It will feel like summer. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

HOUSTON – We hit a record high temperature on Thursday making it to 98° at the heat of the day. The previous record was 97° from 1995.

Our record high Friday is 99° set in 1999. We have forecast a high in the upper 90s.

Tonight’s Forecast:

Tonight we are muggy and mild with temperatures falling through the 80s and into the mid-70s by morning.

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Friday’s Forecast:

Friday will be sunny, hot and humid with temperatures in the upper 90s. It will be another day of triple-digit “feels-like” temperatures. We’re starting to see more humidity moving back into the picture as well, so the sticky factor in your afternoon will start to go way up!

Friday's Highs (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Summer Remains in Charge This Week:

A hot dome of high pressure continues to dominate our weather pattern for most of this week and into the coming weekend. Part of the culprit is a large mid-level high pressure ridge that is centered across much of Texas, largely influencing our weather pattern. The result of this pattern is called an Omega Block. Meaning that on either coast, the jet stream is dipping south so the hot high pressure dominating our weather is strengthened and forced up into the Central Plains.

Omega Block this week (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Tracking the Tropics:

The tropics are the talk of the town as we’re beginning to track a tropical wave that may eventually get a little too close to home. This weekend, we’ll be watching a tropical wave that looks to position itself between the Yucatan and Cuba with a 40% chance of developing in the next 7 days.

Tropical formation chances next week (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

So let’s talk about what we know vs what we don’t know. Since a storm hasn’t even formed yet, the modeling for what “may” form in terms of location, strength and path are way too early to put a reliable bullseye on.

One factor in whether it moves east or west will be how strong a trough in the jet stream is.

If it is weaker, it will push it to the west, meaning more potential problems for the Texas coast or Mexico. If the jet is stronger, it will sweep it to the east, keeping the path closer to Florida. There are still many questions about exactly whether it develops and, if it does, where it will go.

Possible scenarios for next week (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

The American models continue to keep the potential storm away from the Texas coastline, instead guiding it to the east into Florida.

American Model (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

While this would be ideal for Houston, the European model shows a turn to the west, which could mean more tropical trouble for us.

European Model (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

The bottom line is, we are still a few days away from having a starting position for the weather models to lock into and then go from there. Once they do, late this weekend, that will help to clean up some errors about “first guesses”, which is what we have for now. Be safe in the heat, keep track of the forecast, and we’ll keep updates fresh as we get more info!

10-day Forecast:

We stay dry. Highs will be in the 90s, but morning lows will be comfortable in the mid-70s! The start of fall is Sunday, but it will still feel like summer here in SE Texas.

We are stuck in a summer pattern through the week. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

About the Author
Justin Stapleton headshot

Meteorologist, craft beer guru, dad to Maya and Ella and a sock and cheese addict.

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