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Severe weather & flood threat for Houston Saturday

Timing out the weekend storms in Texas

From Texas to Mississippi (Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

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Lizzo Tonight:

Warm and breezy is the story for the remainder of the day and into this evening. If you’re heading out to see Lizzo tonight temperatures range from the lower-80s to mid-70s. There may be a spotty shower or two around tonight.

Forecast for the Houston Livestock Show & Rodeo (Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Severe weather threat Saturday:

Here’s the latest on the severe weather threat for Houston on Saturday. We’re tracking a cold front moving into warm, humid Gulf air, which will trigger thunderstorms and some of them could turn severe.

⛈️ Overall Risk:

  • Level 2 of 5 (Slight Risk) for severe weather across most of Southeast Texas.
  • That means scattered severe storms are possible, but it’s not expected to be a widespread outbreak.
Damaging winds and large hail are possible (Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

⏰ Timing (Houston Area):

  • Our Saturday morning starts with a muggy feel and temperatures in the 70s. The winds will not be as strong as they’ve been the past several days. Besides an isolated light rain shower we should be rain free.
  • Storms start around 3pm, with strong cells scattered throughout southeast Texas.
  • Evening: The line of potentially severe storms moves through our northern cities at 7pm, Houston 9pm and the coast at 11pm.
A line of storms is moving into Houston at 8pm (Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

⚠️ Main Threats:

  1. Damaging wind gusts – possibly 60+ mph in the strongest cells.
  2. Large hail – isolated but possible mainly west and north of the loop.
  3. Heavy rain – could cause street flooding, especially in poor drainage areas.
  4. tornado – low probability, but not zero. The organized threat is well northeast of Houston.
Damaging winds and hail are the biggest threats (Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

🌧️ Rain / Flood Potential:

  • A level 2 of 4 risk for excessive rainfall is in place north of I-10.
  • With repeated storms, some locations could see 1–3 inches of rain, possibly more locally.
Training storms could produce 2"-4" of rain (Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Bottom line:

  • Expect storms Saturday afternoon and evening.
  • A few could be severe, mainly producing strong winds, hail, and heavy rain

Sunday’s forecast:

On Sunday, the front stalls over southeast Texas. This will create morning rain, mostly south of I-10. Right now, there isn’t a severe weather threat but there is a low street flooding threat. It looks like the rain will end early in the afternoon.

Low threat Sunday morning (Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Next cold front that moves through is Wednesday:

If you are hoping for lower temperatures, you get your wish Wednesday. This cold front will move through Houston. It will also bring a line of strong thunderstorms, possibly severe. After we get through this weekend, we’ll give you more details on timing and threats.

This front lowers temperatures for the rest of the week (Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Your Extended Forecast:

With all the talk of storms, I want to remind you we move our clocks forward an hour early Sunday morning. We Spring Forward with Daylight Saving time starting Sunday. Monday and Tuesday’s rain chances are small. After Wednesday temperatures lower to the 70s with a couple of mornings in the 50s. Be safe this weekend.

What to expect through Monday March 16 (Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)