HOUSTON – The Fourth of July forecast is looking very familiar for Southeast Texas: hot, humid and only slightly unsettled.
After several rounds of rain in recent weeks, Houston is settling back into a more typical summer pattern. That means warm and muggy nights, steamy afternoons and only isolated showers or storms each day. Rain chances are not zero, but they stay low enough that most Fourth of July plans should be able to continue without major weather problems.
The biggest weather concern through the holiday weekend will be the heat. Afternoon highs will generally stay in the mid-90s, but with Houston humidity in place, it will feel hotter than the actual air temperature. Heat index values will likely climb into the low 100s during the afternoon, especially away from the coast.
Tuesday’s forecast:
Tuesday will bring another hot summer afternoon across the Houston area. The combination of heat and humidity will push feels-like temperatures into the low 100s during the afternoon, so take it easy if you are working or exercising outside.
Houston is forecast to reach 94 degrees, with many inland communities climbing into the mid-90s.
Rain chances remain low, but not zero. A few isolated showers or storms may develop during the afternoon, especially as daytime heating kicks in. Most neighborhoods will stay dry, with a mix of sun and clouds and light southeast winds around 10 mph.
Fourth of July weekend:
The Fourth of July weekend will stay hot and humid, but it does not look like a washout.
Friday, Saturday and Sunday all carry a 20% chance for isolated showers. That means a passing downpour is possible, but most areas will stay dry each day. The best chance for a quick shower would likely come during the afternoon and early evening hours.
Highs will stay in the mid-90s through the holiday weekend. Houston is forecast to reach 94 degrees on Friday and 96 degrees on both Saturday and Sunday.
For Fourth of July celebrations, expect hot and humid conditions during the day, with only a small chance for a passing shower. Fireworks plans should be okay for most neighborhoods, but it will still feel very warm into the evening. Make sure to drink plenty of water, take breaks in the shade or air conditioning, and keep an eye on kids and pets if you are spending several hours outside.
Tropical Trouble:
Also, monitoring an area of tropical development off of the Southeast Coast. There is a very small chance that It has a low chance to form into a named storm. This will not impact the Gulf Coast.
Read more about it here: Tropical Trouble: Tracking a new area for tropical disturbance near Florida’s coast
10 Day Forecast:
The 10-day forecast shows very little change for Houston. High temperatures remain steady in the mid-90s, with overnight lows mostly in the upper 70s. Rain chances stay low to modest, generally around 20% to 30% on a few days, but there are no strong signals for widespread rain or a major pattern change.
That means Houston will continue to see a very typical July setup: hot afternoons, muggy mornings and isolated showers mainly driven by daytime heating.
No cooldown is coming. The best advice is to plan around the heat, especially during the afternoon, and keep checking the forecast if your Fourth of July plans include outdoor events.