Hurricane Beryl continues its track across the Caribbean Sea Thursday.
It is forecasted to make landfall on Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula sometime early Friday morning.
Recommended Videos
While weakening did occur over the last day since it impacted Jamaica, it has begun to restrengthen Thursday evening.
Here is the latest update.
Beryl to impact Mexico
As of 8:30 p.m. Thursday, Beryl has restrengthened to a category 3 storm with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph.
While it had weakened quite a bit over the last two days thanks to an area of wind shear as well as its interaction with Jamaica on Wednesday, Beryl has begun to restrengthen and Hurricane Hunters found the pressure had dropped back to 962 mb.
Beryl is beginning to impact the Yucatan Peninsula Thursday evening with an estimated landfall sometime early Friday. Places such as the resort towns of Cancun, Cozumel, and Tulum are in the path of Beryl and Hurricane Warnings are in effect for those areas.
Beryl to enter the Gulf
By Friday evening, Beryl will move off the Yucatan and into the Bay of Campeche, back over the water. It should be a tropical storm by this point after moving over land.
It will be heading in a west-northwesterly direction. Most of the models continue to show a final landfall point near the Texas/Mexico border sometime late Sunday or into early Monday.
I do want to emphasize the cone of uncertainty continues to remain quite large and although models are trending more towards the border as a final destination point, Beryl has had a history of trending towards the northern part of the cone of uncertainty during it’s lifetime. This means anywhere from Brownsville up to Matagorda Bay needs to stay alert for the potential for Beryl to trend further north over the coming days.
Southeast Texas shouldn’t let our guard down either. While I do believe the data we are getting is trending in the right direction in terms of Southeast Texas missing a direct landfall, I would definitely continue to keep an eye on Beryl just in case it tries to turn further north than expected.
Beryl is currently projected to be a category 1 hurricane upon it’s final landfall. I do want to mention there is the potential that it could be a little bit stronger than the models are projecting. It’s not a guarantee, but its possible Beryl could be a bit stronger than anticipated on it’s final landfall.
Potential impacts
As I’ve mentioned over the last several days, Beryl’s ultimate landfall location will depend on an area of high pressure over the southern United States. If this high moves further east over the coming days, it will allow for a potential path northward into Texas, which could mean Beryl’s landfall could be further up the coast than the Texas/Mexico border.
If the high stays in place or moves west, this would push Beryl further south and keep impacts fairly low for Southeast Texas.
Regardless of where Beryl makes its final destination, rip currents and high surf at the beach will be a danger over the coming days.
Past that, there are indications that parts of the state, including Southeast Texas, will get quite a bit of rain from the remnants of Beryl as a trough of low pressure digs into the south next week. This would carry the moisture associated with Beryl over our area and could produce quite a bit of rain.
This is subject to change but this graphic shows potential rainfall amounts by next Saturday. This would be for accumulated rainfall over a several day period. These amounts, especially to the west of Houston, are quite potent.
For now, we will see where Beryl comes ashore, but be aware next week could be a wet one in the Houston area.