Fairly nice weather week ahead for Houston: What can you expect?

HOUSTON – As we enter the first week of April, a fairly decent week in the weather department looks to be ahead for Houston.

The week starts out on the warm side with temperatures in the 80s. A cold front moves through Tuesday and drops temperatures slightly back into the 70s.

If you are hoping for a lot of rain with this incoming system, I wouldn’t hold your breath. Right now, rainfall looks to be very minimal.

Here is what your week looks like.

The Week Ahead

April Fools’ Day will feature mostly cloudy skies. Temperatures will be on the warm side with highs reaching into the mid-80s. We are forecasting 86 for your high on Monday. Low temperatures for both Monday and Tuesday won’t cool off much either.

• Houston’s April Fool’s Day is warm, cloudy, and breezy ahead of a cold front.

Following the passage of the cold front, temperatures will drop back into the 70s. Wednesday through next Sunday will feature partly cloudy skies. Cloud cover is forecasted to increase on Sunday ahead of another incoming system.

Low temperatures will also drop down into the low to mid-50s from Wednesday to Friday.

If you are wondering about conditions for the solar eclipse next Monday, right now, unfortunately, it doesn’t look great in terms of the cloud cover department. However, we are still over a week out from the event and the forecast could change between now and then. We will keep you updated.

Cold front and storm system

On Monday and Tuesday, a cold front will approach southeast Texas from the west. North of the area, severe weather is possible from North Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, and into parts of the Midwest closer to the area of low pressure on Monday.

Right now, there does not appear to be much in the way of a severe weather threat for the immediate Houston area. But some areas, especially to the north and west of Houston could see a stronger storm or two Monday evening and overnight into Tuesday morning. A level 1 marginal risk of severe weather includes areas like Bryan-College Station down to Brenham. These areas have the greatest risk of seeing a severe storm or two. Hail and damaging winds would be the main threats if a stronger storm were able to get going. While the tornado threat with any of these storms is very low, it is not completely zero. A greater threat for all severe hazards exists up by the DFW metroplex and to the north in Oklahoma.

The latest computer models are not very optimistic when it comes to rainfall for the immediate Houston area. Monday night, there will be some showers and storms off to the west and north of the Houston metro, across the Hill Country and into parts of North Texas.

By Tuesday morning, the cold front should be entering the area. The models do not put much out in terms of rain or storms and it is quite possible the immediate Houston area sees little to nothing at all. Nevertheless, there remains a 30% chance of rain across the area for early Tuesday.

Overview

Here’s a recap of what to expect this week.

• Temperatures start off warm to hot this week. Monday and Tuesday will see highs reach into the 80s before a cold front drops highs back into the 70s.
• A slight chance of rain exists Tuesday morning across the area. There is not much of a severe weather threat for the immediate Houston area, but areas to the north and west could see a stronger storm or two. A higher threat of severe weather exists from the DFW metroplex northward.
• The solar eclipse is next Monday, April 8. Right now, models don’t look great in terms of cloud cover for the event. We’ll keep an eye on it and see if anything changes in terms of the forecast between now and then.