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Hurricane Beryl and its impacts to Texas

Before we talk about Beryl, it will be firecracker hot this 4th of July!

10pm update still a category 4 (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
Wednesday’s Forecast

Wednesday we will be hot with chance for showers. Highs will be in the mid-90s with a 30% chance for showers and storms after 1PM.

Highs on Wednesday will be in the mid-90s. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
Can Beryl make it to Texas?

The answer is yes. But there is one major element we’re watching. The area of high pressure in northern Florida will greatly determine the path in the Gulf of Mexico. With the highs current strength, it shouldn’t have a problem pulling Beryl close to it and steering it north. If the high weakens just a touch Beryl will miss the turn and travel in the more westerly direction. No matter what path Beryl takes rip current risk will be high starting Saturday!

The stronger the high is, the farther north Beryl will travel (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
Matagorda Bay is on the outside edge of the track (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
Tips for escaping a rip current.
Landfall matters for impacts to Houston:

We’ll have a better idea of the extract track of Beryl late Wednesday. For now, I’m going with a direct hit on far south Texas or the northeastern part of Mexico. If this track verifies the heaviest rain will west of Houston. There is also the possibility Beryl will regain hurricane strength as it nears land.

South Texas/northeast Mexico possibilities (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
20%-30% chance Beryl becomes a hurricane in Gulf (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
Heaviest rain falls west of Houston. The closer Beryl is, the heavier the rain for us. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
Independence Day Forecast:

The 4th is firecracker hot! A heat advisory is possible with temperatures in the mid-90s. Thankfully we do not have any burn bans in place for SE Texas for the first time in two years on the 4th of July! Make sure you check with your county before you shoot off any fireworks.

4th of July Forecast (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Need swimming lessons? Houston area locations for children, adults you can dive into 🏊

10-Day Forecast:

The closer Beryl is to SE Texas the more rain we’ll get. The farther south Beryl tracks, our impacts will be low. For now I’m going with a 60% chance of tropical rain Sunday and Monday with storms chances Saturday and Tuesday too.

What to expect through Friday of next week (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

About the Authors
Anthony Yanez headshot

Chief meteorologist and recipient of the 2022 American Meteorological Society’s award for Excellence in Science Reporting by a Broadcast Meteorologist.

Justin Stapleton headshot

Meteorologist, craft beer guru, dad to Maya and Ella and a sock and cheese addict.