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Storm chances daily through the weekend in Houston

Scattered storms this weekend, heavy rain moves in next week

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Saturday’s Forecast:

We will start off Saturday with a few showers but they’ll be isolated. This means that the earlier you can run errands, or take that morning jog the better. After 1PM we can expect to see showers and storms scattered around southeast Texas. Although rain chances increase after 1PM, it’s still only a 30% chance you will get caught in a passing shower or storm. Highs will be in the lower-90s. It will feel hot if you do not see storms. Storms should taper off after sunset.

4PM Saturday (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Sunday’s Forecast:

Storm chances increase a touch Sunday. Storms will become more widespread by the heat of the day. We will start to see influence from our next cold front into Sunday night.

3PM Sunday (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

The front will stall:

A front is expected to stall in SE Texas, increasing rain chances into the weekend. I wouldn’t cancel any plans this weekend but do know that you’ll need to check the radar before you head out.

We have rain chances this weekend but it will not be a washout. (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Heavy Rain Likely Next Week:

Once we take a pivot into next week, we’re looking at a fairly stormy pattern for most of the week. A second cold front will nose into the state and bring more rounds of heavy rain.

Widespread heavy rain possible Monday (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
Chance of street flooding Monday (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

This front will also stall/linger over most of the week and allow for smaller disturbances to bring multiple waves of rain across the area through the week. Rainfall totals could extend upwards of 4-5″ over the next 6-7 days.

Rainfall totals this coming week (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Tracking the tropics:

There is no tropical activity in the Gulf, Caribbean or Atlantic Ocean. The Saharan dust has been very heavy across much of the tropical Atlantic and that is keeping things very quiet.

Tropical Outlook (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Another factor in keeping the tropics quiet is huge plums of Saharan dust that are helping to snuff out any development from tropical waves at this point.

Tropical Dust Forecast (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

10-day Forecast:

We stay in this active storm pattern through next week. The increase in rain means lower than normal temperatures. 95° is our average this time of year.

What to expect through Monday of next week (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

About the Authors
Caroline Brown headshot

Meteorologist, 6th generation Texan, country music lover, patio seeker

Anthony Yanez headshot

Chief meteorologist and recipient of the 2022 American Meteorological Society’s award for Excellence in Science Reporting by a Broadcast Meteorologist.