Saturday’s Forecast:
We will start off Saturday with a few showers but they’ll be isolated. This means that the earlier you can run errands, or take that morning jog the better. After 1PM we can expect to see showers and storms scattered around southeast Texas. Although rain chances increase after 1PM, it’s still only a 30% chance you will get caught in a passing shower or storm. Highs will be in the lower-90s. It will feel hot if you do not see storms. Storms should taper off after sunset.
Sunday’s Forecast:
Storm chances increase a touch Sunday. Storms will become more widespread by the heat of the day. We will start to see influence from our next cold front into Sunday night.
The front will stall:
A front is expected to stall in SE Texas, increasing rain chances into the weekend. I wouldn’t cancel any plans this weekend but do know that you’ll need to check the radar before you head out.
Heavy Rain Likely Next Week:
Once we take a pivot into next week, we’re looking at a fairly stormy pattern for most of the week. A second cold front will nose into the state and bring more rounds of heavy rain.
This front will also stall/linger over most of the week and allow for smaller disturbances to bring multiple waves of rain across the area through the week. Rainfall totals could extend upwards of 4-5″ over the next 6-7 days.
Tracking the tropics:
There is no tropical activity in the Gulf, Caribbean or Atlantic Ocean. The Saharan dust has been very heavy across much of the tropical Atlantic and that is keeping things very quiet.
Another factor in keeping the tropics quiet is huge plums of Saharan dust that are helping to snuff out any development from tropical waves at this point.
10-day Forecast:
We stay in this active storm pattern through next week. The increase in rain means lower than normal temperatures. 95° is our average this time of year.