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Even As Francine Dissipates A Heavy Rainfall And Flash Flood Threat Will Continue Across Portions Of The Tennessee Valley And Southeast Tonight Into Saturday

Post-Tropical Cyclone

Tropics Forecast Cone at 4:51 Saturday Night, September 14th

Location 25 miles SE of Little Rock Arkansas
Wind 15 mph
Heading SSW at 10 mph
Pressure 29.83
Coordinates 91.9W, 34.5N

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Discussion

At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine was located near latitude 34.5 North, longitude 91.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the south-southwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). The system will continue drifting southward and will likely gradually lose a well-defined surface circulation by later tonight or early Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 15 mph (30 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).

Tropics Satellite at 4:50 Saturday Night, September 14th

Watches and Warnings

SUMMARY OF WATCHES IN EFFECT:

Flood Watches are in effect for portions of the Tennessee Valley and Southeast.

Tropics Models at 4:44 Saturday Night, September 14th

Land Hazards

Key messages for Francine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Through Saturday night, additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with locally higher amounts are expected across portions of central and northern Alabama. This rainfall could lead to locally considerable flash and urban flooding.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Francine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html.


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